NHẬN ĐỊNH

VNINDEX: 1.367,36 điểm – Tích cực:

Chỉ số duy trì tín hiệu tích cực đồng pha với độ rộng tín hiệu kỹ thuật các nhóm ngành chính như Bank, VN30, P, BĐS dù có phiên nghiêng mạnh về mã giảm khi đóng cửa nhưng còn đó những VN30, BĐS duy trì nhịp tăng bên cạnh các trụ lớn như VINGROUP, VNM (HM:), NVL (HM:), MSN (HM:), VCB (HM:), VNM hỗ trợ điểm số giúp tâm lý cũng như cung ngắn hạn không quá áp lực và làm mất đi tín hiệu kỹ thuật ngắn hạn khá tốt đang duy trì ở độ rộng. Áp lực lên chỉ số nhịp vừa qua chủ đạo từ các cổ phiếu tăng nóng như VPB (HM:), VIB, SHB (HN:) là chủ yếu. Do đó với việc cung ngắn hạn không quá mạnh ở nhịp vừa qua bên cạnh lực cầu mạnh mẽ từ khối ngoại vào VN30 thì thị trường còn nhiều cơ hội để kiểm định lại vùng đỉnh cũ 1.370 – 1.380 điểm thậm chí Break Bolinger band về 1.400 điểm như dự báo ở phiên đầu tuần.

(Dự đoán: Biểu đồ kỹ thuật chỉ số VNI-INDEX tuần 14-18/06)

KHUYẾN NGHỊ

Thị trường có nhịp rung lắc mạnh từ giữa phiên sáng sau nhịp hồi mạnh mẽ trong đó áp lực chủ yếu xuất phát từ nhóm tăng nhóm ngành ngân hàng như VPB, VIB, SHB trước khi tiếp tục lan tỏa tạo áp lực lên độ rộng ngành ngân hàng và những P, VN30 khi đóng cửa thị trường. Tuy nhiên, chiều ngược lại tín hiệu tích cực có thể hỗ trợ thị trường bức phá kiểm định lại đỉnh cũ 1.370-1.380 điểm hay Break khỏi Bolinger bang vùng 1.400 điểm chính là nhờ lực cầu mạnh mẽ từ khối ngoại vào VN30, BĐS với khả năng đến từ lực cơ cấu của ETFs trong khi đó dù độ rộng giảm điểm nhưng với lực bán không quá mạnh phần nào giúp đa phần những VN30, Bank, P, BĐS đều duy trì tín hiệu kỹ thuật tích cực trong sóng ngắn đã khởi tạo từ nhịp đầu tuần.

Notedaily – Bản tin đầu tư 16.06.2021: Sóng ngắn nổi lên ở BĐS. Khối ngoại tích lũy mạnh trước nhịp kiểm định 1.370-1.380 điểm và đáo hạn HĐTL. Khuyến nghị: Cơ cấu danh mục dài hạn tập trung giữ  VN30, đầu ngành, thủy sản tỷ trọng 70% danh mục, tăng tỷ trọng hoặc lướt sóng danh mục có sẵn ở đầu ngành, VN30 đón thông tin mùa KQKD. Ngắn hạn: Ưu tiên lướt trên danh mục có sẵn VN30, Bank. Trung hạn: – Nắm giữ chủ đạo VN30, đầu ngành, dầu khí 70% danh mục, tăng tỷ trọng hoặc lướt sóng danh mục có sẵn.

  • Tích cực: Thanh khoản thị trường duy trì tốt, cải thiện mạnh ở VN30. Giá dầu phục hồi. Tín hiệu kỹ thuật ngành ngân hàng duy trì xu hướng tích cực trong sóng 2 tạo cơ hội chốt lời vị thế trung hạn và giữ điểm cho chỉ số. Dòng tiền ngắn hạn duy trì khá tốt. Khối ngoại tiếp tục mua ròng mạnh mẽ ở  VN30, BĐS. Độ rộng tín hiệu những Bank, VN30, P, BĐS duy trì vào sóng ngắn trước khi bước vào nhịp cơ cấu ETFs, đáo hạn HĐTL 17.06.2021. Trụ lớn tạo sóng trở lại như VIC (HM:), VNM, GAS (HM:), MSN nên có thể hỗ trợ tâm lý về chỉ số.
  • Tiêu cực: Thị trường cạn thông tin sau ĐHCĐ. Khối ngoại duy trì đà bán ròng mạnh ở độ rộng. Dòng tiền rút khỏi nhóm BĐS. Chú ý áp lực T+ gia tăng ở phiên đáo hạn HĐTL 17.06.2021. Mất nhịp đồng pha sóng ngắn ở nhóm ngân hàng và phân hóa. Khối ngoại đã có chuỗi mua ròng, cẩn trọng nhịp tăng nóng có thể cơ cấu chiều bán. Khối ngoại bất ngờ trở lại bán ròng Bank.

Cổ phiếu giao dịch phiên: Chủ đạo nắm giữ cổ phiếu đã tích lũy GAS, PHR (HM:), VHC (HM:), BMP (HM:), VNM, LCG. Chú ý điểm lướt sóng BID (HM:), PLX (HM:).



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